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Smarter ways to make money betting baseball's best home teams


Here’s a look at a few MLB teams enjoying home field success

Smarter ways to make money betting baseball's best home teams | News Article by

Home-field advantage can be the difference between winning and losing a game. And because of that edge, MLB oddsmakers don’t play around when it comes to pricing that advantage into the baseball betting moneylines.

That extra vig on the host side can make betting home teams an expensive venture for MLB bettors. As we hit the midway mark of June, home clubs have won just over 51 percent of the time and when you calculate in the moneylines on those home bets, you aren’t making enough to turn a profit.

Here’s a look at a few MLB teams enjoying home field success, but not converting high enough for baseball bettors, and an alternative option that is making more money for the local faithful:

New York Yankees (24-10 SU at home, +5.79 units)
Even when the club is mediocre, the Bronx Bombers get a ton of backing from public players. Due to that support at the sportsbook, the oddsmakers pad New York’s moneylines with the infamous “Yankee Tax”.

With the Pinstripes being among the MLB elite in 2018, that “tax” is at a peak – especially when the Yankees are at home. New York has the best home mark in all of baseball, but has turned out just less than six units of profit due to lofty price tags. Even with New York showing some value at home in recent stands against Washington and Houston, bettors should be cautious of N.Y. when those moneylines go above -180.

Alternative: Philadelphia Phillies (22-12 SU at home, +7.68 units)
The Phillies aren’t far behind New York in terms of home-field success, yet have produced far better results for baseball bettors in 2018. Philadelphia is a young and promising club but still isn’t a public darling like the Yankees or even like National League East rival Washington. And because of that, the Phils have maintained betting value inside Citizens Bank Park. Philadelphia has been anchored by its pitching at home, boasting a 3.41 ERA as a host – fifth lowest in the Senior Circuit.

Houston Astros (19-14 SU at home, -6.89 units)
The reigning World Series champs are one of the most expensive plays for MLB moneyline bettors, and rightfully so. The Astros are loaded with elite pitching talent and smashing in more than five runs per contest. When you toss home-field into that mix, oddsmakers have no choice but to set Houston at upwards of -320 inside Minute Maid Park.

Unfortunately, for those backing the Astros in those home spots, the club has performed better away from Houston than it has in front of the Lone Star State faithful. It had a few costly defeats to Boston and Seattle recently, which chewed into any home profits this season. The offense seems to be to blame, plating only 4.15 runs at home compared to six runs per road stop.

Alternative: San Francisco Giants (19-11 SU at home, +6.80 units)
The Giants are one of the most two-faced teams in baseball. They have been solid in the Bay Area, boasting a .633 win rate at AT&T Park and earning almost seven units for bettors. However, on the road, San Francisco has been rolled, lugging a 15-24 mark and burning though -2.24 units so far in 2018. The Giants recently went 5-1 during a six-game home stand with Arizona and Philadelphia, and are scoring one and a half more runs at home than on the road – plating just over five runs per home stand. Following their current three-game road set in Los Angeles, the Giants stay in San Fran for 10 straight games versus Miami, San Diego, and Colorado.

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