The NFL season is down to two. The Philadelphia Eagles, champions in the NFC, take on the defending title holders, the AFC Champion New England Patriots in Super Bowl LII in Minnesota on February 4.

Sportsbooks opened the Super Bowl betting odds with the Patriots as large as 6.5-point chalk, but early sharp money grabbed the points with the Eagles and have driven this spread as low as four points at some shops. With still a week of action to come, sports bettors should expect some buyback on New England and more line movement before kickoff on Super Sunday.

If you’re on the fence as to what you should do with your super bowl bets – Philadelphia or New England – here are some reasons to bet either squad in Super Bowl LII.

Bet the Patriots
It’s the Patriots, c’mon. New England has won Super Bowls in two of the past three years and knows how to get the job done in the Big Game, as last year’s Super Bowl comeback showed us. The Patriots are 5-0 ATS when pegged as favorites of 6.5 points or less this season and won’t be blinded by the bright lights of Super Bowl Sunday.

While the team hasn’t officially announced anything on tight end Rob Gronkowski’s status for Sunday, it looks as though he’ll be good to go after suffering a concussion in the AFC title game. Gronkowski is Brady’s top target and goes up against an Eagles defense that has been roughed up by tight ends this season. Philadelphia ranked 28th in the NFL in quarterback rating by target when it comes to tight ends, and there’s no TE better than Gronk.

On the defensive side of the ball, the Patriots don’t get much credit. Sure, New England finished 29th in yards allowed on defense, giving up 366 yards per game, but those gains didn’t translate into points for opponents. The Patriots allow just 18.5 points per game – fifth lowest in the league – and have limited their last four opponents to an average of only two touchdowns. This is a “bend but don’t break” defense that stiffens up when foes approach the red zone.

Bet the Eagles
Philadelphia is eating up the underdog role, with players sporting dog masks after their two playoff wins – both as betting underdogs. The Eagles are 5-2 ATS as pups this year and once again get the points from the oddsmakers in Super Bowl LII. There is momentum with Philadelphia, which is coming off a blowout win over the Vikings and convincing victory against Atlanta in the Divisional Round.

Nick Foles isn’t getting much credit either. It seemed the Eagles’ season was done when star QB Carson Wentz went down in Week 14, but Foles has improved with every snap and is coming off a very solid effort against the tremendous Vikings defense in the NFC Championship. Along with a deep rushing attack that picks up 4.3 yards per carry, Foles has commanded a methodical Eagles attack that has dominated the clock – something Philadelphia must do to beat New England. It held on to the football for over 34 minutes against the Vikings and 32 minutes versus the Falcons.

The Philadelphia defense is a stacked stop unit with talent at just about every position. The Eagles have held foes to just 17 total points this postseason and limited opponents to 17 points or less in nine games all season. The pass rush recorded 38 sacks on the season and is tremendous at collapsing the pocket, especially when rushing only four. That’s the key when it comes to limiting Tom Brady and making him hurry, and allowing your linebackers to plug up the passing lanes.